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E-Commerce · Predictive Analytics

Demand forecasting for a regional FMCG distributor

A fast-moving consumer goods distributor was caught between two expensive problems at once: too much stock sitting in the warehouse, and not enough of the products customers actually wanted.

The challenge

Forecasting was done in spreadsheets, brand by brand, on gut feel and last month's numbers. Slow movers piled up and tied cash in inventory, while fast movers ran dry and lost sales. Across hundreds of SKUs, nobody could see the whole picture in time to act on it.

What we built

We built a demand-forecasting system across the full product range. It learns the patterns behind each SKU, including seasonality, promotions, and regional demand, and turns them into rolling forecasts that feed straight into purchasing and inventory decisions instead of sitting in a report.

The outcome

"They stopped buying to feel safe and started buying to match real demand."

The distributor now plans inventory with confidence, and the cash that used to sit on shelves is back in the business.

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